Alex De Minaur vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Wojtek Kolan

HEAD TO HEAD

A. De Minaur vs P. Carreno-Busta

Alex De Minaur
Alex De Minaur

Flag AUS AUS

w
w
l
w
w
l
l
l
w
l
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Pablo Carreno-Busta

Flag ESP ESP

w
w
w
l
w
w
w
w
l
l

0

Win

2

Played

2

Win

26
Age
34
6'0" (183 cm)
Height
6'2" (188 cm)
7
C. Rank
89
6
Best Rank
10
10
Total Titles
7
1
YTD Titles
0
$13.8M
Career Money
$10.7M
Right-Handed
Plays
Right-Handed

Head-to-head: Minaur 0 - 2 Carreno-Busta

They have played 7 sets in total, with Alex De Minaur winning 1 and Pablo Carreno-Busta winning 6. The last match between Pablo Carreno-Busta and Alex De Minaur was at the U.S. Open - New York, 02-09-2022, Round: R3, Surface: Hard, with Pablo Carreno-Busta getting the victory 6-1 6-1 3-6 7-6(5).

PlayersHead To Head Match Wins
Minaur0
Carreno-Busta2
Last 2 H2H Matches:

(R3U.S. Open - New York(09-02-22)

Hard
ESP Flag
Pablo Carreno-Busta
6
6
3
7
AUS Flag
Alex De Minaur
1
1
6
6

(R2French Open - Paris(05-29-19)

Clay
ESP Flag
Pablo Carreno-Busta
6
6
6
AUS Flag
Alex De Minaur
3
1
1

A. D. Minaur vs P. Carreno-Busta H2H Profile

Stats
$13,814,330Career Prize Money$10,687,070
64.47% (421-232)Career Total W/L63.28% (610-354)
0Clay1
0Hard1
12Titles33
0Total H2H Matches2
70.00% (56-24)YTD Win/Loss36.36% (8-14)
1YTD Titles0

A. D. Minaur vs P. Carreno-Busta Match Preview:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Alex De Minaur has won 46.61% of points on their second serve, while Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 43.29%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Alex De Minaur, in recent form, has won 43.02% of their opponent's second serve points, while Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 46.78%. The same stats for first serve returns are 23.91% and 26.94% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Alex De Minaur has saved 56.13% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Pablo Carreno-Busta has saved 54.48% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Alex De Minaur has won 69.14% of matches played (W/L 56/25), with Pablo Carreno-Busta winning 59.70% (W/L 40/27) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Alex De Minaur has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 68% (W/L 54/25), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 57% (W/L 75/56). Pablo Carreno-Busta has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 68% (W/L 355/186), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 30% (W/L 6/14).
  • Player level: In the last year, Alex De Minaur has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 75.00% of matches (W/L 21/7), where as Pablo Carreno-Busta has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 75.68% of matches (W/L 28/9). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Alex De Minaur winning 0 times and Pablo Carreno-Busta being victorious 2 times. They have played 7 sets in total, with Alex De Minaur winning 1 and Pablo Carreno-Busta winning 6.
  • The last match between Alex De Minaur and Pablo Carreno-Busta was at the U.S. Open - New York, 02-09-2022, Round: R3, Surface: Hard, with Pablo Carreno-Busta getting the victory 6-1 6-1 3-6 7-6(5).
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:25:30.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Alex De Minaur has played against opponents with an average rank of 60.26 while Pablo Carreno-Busta has played against players with an average rank of 188.73.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Alex De Minaur has won 44% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 50% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Alex De Minaur has converted 27.54% of breakpoint opportunities, and Pablo Carreno-Busta has converted 32.72% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.

Alex De Minaur vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

A. D. Minaur vs P. Carreno-Busta H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

Stats
0H2H Matches Won2
1Sets Won6
19Games Won40
14Aces (Total)10
12Total Double Faults1
2:25:30Average Match Time2:25:30
57% (130/227)1st Serve %67% (120/178)
64% (83/130)1st Serve Win %78% (93/120)
42% (41/97)2nd Serve Win %59% (34/58)
9% (1/11)Break Pts Won %46% (12/26)
29% (51/178)Return Points Win %45% (103/227)
0% (0/2)Best‑of‑5 Win %100% (2/2)
0% (0/0)1st Set Won, Won Match100% (2/2)
0% (0/0)1st Set Won, Lost Match0% (0/2)
0% (0/2)1st Set Lost, Won Match0% (0/0)

Recent Performance Stats

2nd Serve Win %: Minaur 57%, Carreno-Busta 52%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Minaur 54%, Carreno-Busta 54%.
Break Points Saved %: Minaur 63%, Carreno-Busta 62%.

A. D. Minaur Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
I.hardNitto ATP Finals - Turin - 10-11-2025

SF

ITAJ. Sinner
L
7-5 6-2

Robin

USAT. Fritz
W
7-6(3) 6-3

Robin

ITAL. Musetti
L
7-5 3-6 7-5

Robin

ESPC. Alcaraz
L
7-6(5) 6-2
I.hardRolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025

QF

KAZA. Bublik
L
6-7(5) 6-4 7-5

P. Carreno-Busta Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
I.hardDavis Cup, World Group, QF, ESP-CZE - 17-11-2025

Rubber 1

CZEJ. Mensik
L
7-5 6-4
HardOlbia Challenger - 13-10-2025

F

FRAL. Van
L
7-6(5) 6-7(1) 6-2

SF

ESPM. Landaluce
W
6-2 3-6 6-3

QF

CHIA. Tabilo
W
6-3 1-6 7-6(3)

R2

FRAL. Pavlovic
W
3-6 6-1 6-2
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A. D. Minaur vs P. Carreno-Busta Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

Stats
64.47% (421/232)YTD Win/Loss63.28% (610/354)
60.93% (1001/642)Sets Win/Loss60.15% (1431/948)
53.91% (8383/7167)Games Win/Loss53.50% (12146/10558)
67.45% (201/97)Hard Win/Loss65.35% (198/105)
57.25% (75/56)Clay Win/Loss65.62% (355/186)
62.76% (91/54)Indoor Hard W/L51.00% (51/49)
68.35% (54/25)Grass Win/Loss30.00% (6/14)
0.3Aces Per Game0.26
2269Aces Total2864
0.21Double Faults Per Game0.12
1616Total Double Faults1384
1:45:12Average Match Time1:21:25
280.01Average Opponent Rank487.23
58% (27310/46777)1st Serve %64% (35944/56288)
71% (19283/27327)1st Serve Win %70% (25056/35944)
54% (10459/19482)2nd Serve Win %52% (10546/20339)
43% (2046/4781)Break Points Won % (Total)42% (2307/5554)
40% (19470/48360)Return Points Win %39% (22215/56929)
64.58% (62/34)Slam W/L59.41% (60/41)
55.20% (69/56)Masters W/L52.59% (71/64)
61.54% (24/15)Cups W/L52.38% (11/10)
67.52% (158/76)Main Tour W/L56.38% (168/130)
14.29% (1/6)Tour Finals W/L0.00% (0/2)
66.67% (52/26)Challenger W/L70.56% (151/63)
74.32% (55/19)Futures W/L77.01% (144/43)
64% (343/537)Best of 3 Sets Win %64% (541/848)
66% (72/109)Best of 5 Sets Win %59% (61/104)
56% (132/234)Tiebreaks Win % (Total)56% (207/367)
58% (108/187)Deciding Set Win %55% (170/308)
88% (401/352)1st Set Won, Won Match86% (595/514)
12% (401/49)1st Set Won, Lost Match13% (595/79)
27% (252/69)1st Set Lost, Won Match26% (367/94)

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