Alex De Minaur vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Our Predictions

H2H Records Career Stats

HEAD TO HEAD
A. De Minaur vs P. Carreno-Busta

Alex De Minaur

AUS

0

Win

Played

2

Win

Age

6'0" (183 cm)

Height

6'2" (188 cm)

C. Rank

125

Best Rank

Total Titles

Ytd Titles

$13.3M

Career Money

$10.7M

Right-Handed

Plays

Right-Handed

Pablo Carreno-Busta

ESP

0

Win

Played

2

Win

Age

6'0" (183 cm)

Height

6'2" (188 cm)

C. Rank

125

Best Rank

Total Titles

Ytd Titles

$13.3M

Career Money

$10.7M

Right-Handed

Plays

Right-Handed

Head-To-Head: Minaur 0 - 2 Carreno-Busta

They have played 7 sets in total, with Alex De Minaur winning 1 and Pablo Carreno-Busta winning 6. The last match between Pablo Carreno-Busta and Alex De Minaur was at the U.S. Open - New York, 02-09-2022, Round: R3, Surface: Hard, with Pablo Carreno-Busta getting the victory 6-1 6-1 3-6 7-6(5).

Players	Head To Head Match Wins
Minaur	0
Carreno-Busta	2

Last H2H Matches:

(R3) U.S. Open - New York(09-02-22)

Stats

Pablo Carreno-Busta

Alex De Minaur

(R2) French Open - Paris(05-29-19)

Stats

Pablo Carreno-Busta

Alex De Minaur

A. D. Minaur vs P. Carreno-Busta H2H Profile

A. D. Minaur	Stats	P. Carreno-Busta
$13,263,130	Career Prize Money	$10,687,070
64.40% (407-225)	Career Total W/L	63.13% (601-351)
0	Clay	1
0	Hard	1
12	Titles	32
0	Total H2H Matches	2
71.19% (42-17)	YTD Win/Loss	38.10% (8-13)
1	YTD Titles	0

A. D. Minaur vs P. Carreno-Busta Match Preview

Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Alex De Minaur has won 46.15% of points on their second serve, while Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 43.88%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Alex De Minaur, in recent form, has won 43.61% of their opponent's second serve points, while Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 45.79%. The same stats for first serve returns are 24.43% and 26.23% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
Under pressure analysis: Alex De Minaur has saved 50.81% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Pablo Carreno-Busta has saved 56.99% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Performance overview: Over the last year Alex De Minaur has won 66.22% of matches played (W/L 49/ 25), with Pablo Carreno-Busta winning 53.33% (W/L 49/ 28) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
Best surface: Alex De Minaur has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 68% (W/L 54/ 25), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 57% (W/L 75/ 56). Pablo Carreno-Busta has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 66% (W/L 355/ 186), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 30% (W/L 6/ 14).
Player level: In the last year, Alex De Minaur has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 73.08% of matches (W/L 19/ 7), where as Pablo Carreno-Busta has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 71.43% of matches (W/L 20/ 8). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Alex De Minaur winning 0 times and Pablo Carreno-Busta being victorious 2 times. They have played 7 sets in total, with Alex De Minaur winning 1 and Pablo Carreno-Busta winning 6. The last match between Pablo Carreno-Busta and Alex De Minaur was at the U.S. Open - New York, 02-09-2022, Round: R3, Surface: Hard, with Pablo Carreno-Busta getting the victory 6-1 6-1 3-6 7-6(5).
Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:25:30.
Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Alex De Minaur has played against opponents with an average rank of 58.46 while Pablo Carreno-Busta has played against players with an average rank of 169.05.
Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Alex De Minaur has won 50% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 33% in all matches played on tour.
Break point conversion: In recent form, Alex De Minaur has converted 32.82% of breakpoint opportunities, and Pablo Carreno-Busta has converted 32.05% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.

Alex De Minaur vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

A. D. Minaur vs P. Carreno-Busta H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

A. D. Minaur	Stats	P. Carreno-Busta
0	H2H Matches Won	2
1	Sets Won	6
19	Games Won	40
14	Aces (Total)	10
12	Total Double Faults	1
2:25:30	Avg. Match Time	2:25:30
57% (130/227)	1st Serve %	67% (120/178)
64% (83/130)	1st Serve Win %	78% (93/120)
42% (41/97)	2nd Serve Win %	59% (34/58)
9% (1/11)	Break Pts Won %	46% (12/26)
29% (51/178)	Return Pts Won %	45% (103/227)
0% (0/2)	Best‑of‑5 Win %	100% (2/2)
0% (0/0)	1st Set Won → Match Won	100% (2/2)
0% (0/0)	1st Set Won → Match Lost	0% (0/2)
0% (0/2)	1st Set Lost → Match Won	0% (0/0)

Recent Performance Stats

A. D. Minaur Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, AUS-BEL 2-3 - 08-09-2025
Rubber 4 Zizou BergsZ. Bergs	W	6-2 7-5	Stats
Rubber 1 Raphael CollignonR. Collignon	L	7-5 3-6 6-3	Stats
U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025
QF Felix Auger AliassimeF. Auger	L	4-6 7-6(7) 7-5 7-6(4)	Stats
R4 Leandro RiediL. Riedi	W	6-3 6-2 6-1	Stats
R3 Daniel AltmaierD. Altmaier	W	6-7(7) 6-3 6-4 2-0 ret.	Stats

View All

P. Carreno-Busta Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Bad Waltersdorf Challenger - 15-09-2025
QF Vit KoprivaV. Kopriva	L	6-2 0-6 6-1	Stats
R2 Sebastian SorgerS. Sorger	W	7-5 6-4	Stats
R1 Lukas NeumayerL. Neumayer	W	7-5 4-6 6-3	Stats
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, ESP-DEN 3-2 - 08-09-2025
Rubber 5 Elmer MollerE. Moller	W	6-2 6-3	Stats
Rubber 1 Holger RuneH. Rune	L	7-5 6-3	Stats

View All

A. D. Minaur vs P. Carreno-Busta Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

A. D. Minaur	Stats	P. Carreno-Busta
64.40% (407/225)	YTD Win/Loss	63.13% (601/351)
60.80% (971/626)	Sets Win/Loss	60.12% (1411/936)
53.88% (8137/6966)	Games Win/Loss	53.47% (11974/10419)
67.24% (195/95)	Hard Win/Loss	64.51% (189/104)
57.25% (75/56)	Clay Win/Loss	65.62% (355/186)
62.88% (83/49)	Indoor Hard W/L	52.04% (51/47)
68.35% (54/25)	Grass Win/Loss	30.00% (6/14)
0.29	Aces Per Game	0.26
2178	Aces Total	2821
0.21	Double Faults Per Game	0.13
1586	Total Double Faults	1371
1:45:15	Average Match Time	1:21:2
282.27	Average Opponent Rank	482.15
58% (26469/45415)	1st Serve %	64% (35310/55369)
71% (18683/26486)	1st Serve Win %	70% (24608/35310)
54% (10147/18961)	2nd Serve Win %	52% (10395/20054)
43% (1996/4640)	Break Points Won % (Total)	41% (2264/5464)
40% (18890/46879)	Return Points Win %	39% (21844/56014)
64.58% (62/34)	Slam W/L	59.41% (60/41)
54.24% (64/54)	Masters W/L	52.59% (71/64)
59.46% (22/15)	Cups W/L	55.00% (11/9)
67.26% (152/74)	Main Tour W/L	56.38% (168/130)
0.00% (0/3)	Tour Finals W/L	0.00% (0/2)
66.67% (52/26)	Challenger W/L	69.95% (142/61)
74.32% (55/19)	Futures W/L	77.01% (144/43)
64% (330/517)	Best of 3 Sets Win %	64% (532/836)
66% (72/109)	Best of 5 Sets Win %	59% (61/104)
56% (127/228)	Tiebreaks Win % (Total)	57% (204/361)
58% (106/182)	Deciding Set Win %	55% (164/300)
88% (386/338)	1st Set Won, Won Match	86% (587/507)
12% (386/48)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	13% (587/78)
28% (246/69)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	25% (363/92)